While rates are on the rise, the price correction may not be enough to counter the U.S. industry’s expense problems, says a new report by A.M. Best. Figures from the last quarter of 2000, as well as yearend results, show that net premiums rose a “moderate” 4.9%, and that rate hardening in both commercial and personal auto lines has fallen short of the mark in dealing with expense ratios. Further more, the study notes, “the same conditions that led the industry into the prolonged soft market – market fragmentation, increased transparency, excess capital and too many players – persist in today’s environment, ensuring that the industry’s recovery will be moderate”.
The industry’s combined ratio shot up to 115% in the last quarter of 2000, up from 112.1% for the same quarter of 1999. For the year, the combined ratio sits at 110.4%, up from 107.8% in 1999. The report predicts that poor underwriting results will continue to hamper the industry through the coming year, but will improve “mildly” in 2002.
Net income was down for the year, at 20.6 billion, a 6% drop from 1999. This was largely due to an almost 40% increase in underwriting losses, and was only marginally offset by a 5.5% increase in investment income.
While results were poor for all three segments of the industry, they were most pronounced for the reinsurance sector. (See chart 2) Additional retrocession costs resulting from global cat losses, adverse loss-reserve development and the continued soft market are to blame, the report suggests. Combined ratio for the reinsurance segment was a whopping 122.8% for the fourth quarter of 2000, and 116.4% for the year. “This deterioration suggests continued insufficient pricing…and significant actions taken by ceding companies to strengthen prior accident-year loss reserves.”
In commercial lines the results were less desperate, with the combined ratio for 2000 at 109.4%, a result consistent with 1999’s 109.8%. Despite rate increases, loss ratios have not been seen because of rising loss costs and “broad coverage interpretations” causing unforeseen losses. Rising medical costs will continue to hamper margins in the future, the report predicts, and consolidation should grow in the sector as companies seek financial strength.
Medical cost inflation, as well as rising auto repair costs, also took a toll in personal lines last year, resulting in a yearend combined ratio of 110.3%. This ratio could rise to 110.7% by the end of this year, but may improve slightly in 2002, A.M. Best suggests.
On a bright note, total cat losses were down to $4.3 billion last year, compared with $8.2 billion the year prior. But the report also suggests that further asbestosis exposures loom on the horizon.
P&C Financial Indicators
For 12 months ending Dec. 31
($ billions)
1999
2000
$
301.0 $
286.9
296.2
282.8
41.0
38.9
20.6
21.9
110.4
107.8
319.0
334.3
Net Written Premiums
Net Earned Premiums
Net Investment Income
Net Income (after taxes)
Combined Ratio (reported)
Surplus (end of year)
P&C Segment Trends
2000 Yearend Comparisons
1999
2000
Change in Net
Combined
Combined
Written
Ratio
Ratio
Premium (%)
105.4
110.3
3.1
109.8
109.4
6.6
114.9
116.4
12.5
107.8
110.4
4.9
While rates are on the rise, the price correction may not be enough to counter the U.S. industry’s expense problems, says a new report by A.M. Best. Figures from the last quarter of 2000, as well as yearend results, show that net premiums rose a “moderate” 4.9%, and that rate hardening in both commercial and personal auto lines has fallen short of the mark in dealing with expense ratios. Further more, the study notes, “the same conditions that led the industry into the prolonged soft market – market fragmentation, increased transparency, excess capital and too many players – persist in today’s environment, ensuring that the industry’s recovery will be moderate”.
The industry’s combined ratio shot up to 115% in the last quarter of 2000, up from 112.1% for the same quarter of 1999. For the year, the combined ratio sits at 110.4%, up from 107.8% in 1999. The report predicts that poor underwriting results will continue to hamper the industry through the coming year, but will improve “mildly” in 2002.
Net income was down for the year, at 20.6 billion, a 6% drop from 1999. This was largely due to an almost 40% increase in underwriting losses, and was only marginally offset by a 5.5% increase in investment income.
While results were poor for all three segments of the industry, they were most pronounced for the reinsurance sector. (See chart 2) Additional retrocession costs resulting from global cat losses, adverse loss-reserve development and the continued soft market are to blame, the report suggests. Combined ratio for the reinsurance segment was a whopping 122.8% for the fourth quarter of 2000, and 116.4% for the year. “This deterioration suggests continued insufficient pricing…and significant actions taken by ceding companies to strengthen prior accident-year loss reserves.”
In commercial lines the results were less desperate, with the combined ratio for 2000 at 109.4%, a result consistent with 1999’s 109.8%. Despite rate increases, loss ratios have not been seen because of rising loss costs and “broad coverage interpretations” causing unforeseen losses. Rising medical costs will continue to hamper margins in the future, the report predicts, and consolidation should grow in the sector as companies seek financial strength.
Medical cost inflation, as well as rising auto repair costs, also took a toll in personal lines last year, resulting in a yearend combined ratio of 110.3%. This ratio could rise to 110.7% by the end of this year, but may improve slightly in 2002, A.M. Best suggests.
On a bright note, total cat losses were down to $4.3 billion last year, compared with $8.2 billion the year prior. But the report also suggests that further asbestosis exposures loom on the horizon.
Katie Witt began her insurance career shortly after graduating from Wilfrid Laurier University and Nipissing University with a joint BA/BEd in 2012. Initially planning on being an educator but struggling with a challenging hiring process, Witt looked to insurance for a stable income and a start to a promising career. She never looked back. Her […]
Over the course of 25 years, Michael Watts has honed his deep commercial underwriting expertise and dedication to building broker relationships. Watts started his career in 1999 as a Personal Lines Customer Service Agent, then moved into commercial lines where he rose through the ranks, eventually taking on his current role. He holds a BComm […]
Monica Waddell’s career began over two decades ago when she joined the industry as a customer service representative with Renfrew Thompson Insurance in 2001. Two years later, she joined Intact Insurance as an underwriting assistant, a role that marked the beginning of her journey in underwriting. Today, Waddell’s experience in nurturing broker relationships is a […]
October 15, 2024
3 min read
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